NEW UPDATE: Green Party Leader Annamie Paul is gone...Five (5) more to go.
UPDATE NOTE: It is almost as if Joe Oliver ...a former Finance Minister in the Stephen Harper Government had read my recent Blogs in advance of penning his editorial this Friday in the Financial Post ...here are some of the things he said about current Tory Leader Erin O'Toole:
- Red Tories argue that because Canada is basically a liberal country the route to a majority for a true Conservative Party is a strong showing by the NDP... However a long term winning strategy cannot be based on the uncertain fortunes of a 3rd Party..
- Every progressive and most of the mainstream commentariat proclaim that the only road to victory for the Conservatives is to embrace the values and policies of the centre left (as O'Toole attempted unsuccessfully to do). Those priorities run counter to conservative values and they are not the issues that fire up the Conservative base or persuade swing voters who have plenty of big government environmental alarmists parties to choose from. And Finally,
- Conservatives need to have a broad and indepth discussion about what they stand for and how that can be convincingly conveyed to Canadians. At stake is not only partisan politics but the future of Canada as we confront another painful 18 months of Liberal Misrule.
ALL OVER AGAIN.
AND OF COURSE I AM REFERING TO CANADA'S GENERAL ELECTION
WHICH TOOK PLACE YESTERDAY.
In the previous and very recent Federal Election less than 2 years ago the major parties
finished as follows:
Liberals 157 seats and 33.12 % of the vote;
Conservatives 121 seats with 34.34% of the vote;
Bloc Quebecois 32 and 7.63%; and finally,
The New Democratic Party at 24 seats and a voter % of 15.98.
So what did Prime Minister Justin Trudeau gain by calling yesterday's election...not much:
His Party gained by 1 extra member - 158 with 32.2 % (less than 2019)
The Tories at 119 dropped 2 with 34% (a little less than last time)
The Bloc at 34 gained 2 with 7.7% (a little more..)
And the NDP at 25 gained but 1 too with 17.7 (slightly more than in 2019 but so far below what they needed to make any difference in the election outcome.)
In my most recent Blog I predicted exactly this outcome and sadly I was right. The only thing that I was not totally sure of - yet expected it - was whether the Liberals and NDP would have enough seats between them to get them past the 170 seat majority needed to run government. They did so we will once again see them joined at the Hip and the Poor Canadian Taxpayer will pay dearly.
But I also predicted that all for all the major Party Leaders, this will be their last election.
Trudeau because he has now tried unsuccessfully twice to regain the majority he won back in 2015. More to the point his average voter per centage has hovered around a meagerly 30%. Stunningly Himself went on t.v. to announce yesterday that He had been given a solid Mandate by Canadians to bring forward whatever He might chose. This despite roughly 70% did not vote Liberal. He most certainly has a future as a stand up comedian post politics.
O'Toole will be gone soon too - the fact that he could not beat Trudeau with all his warts and faults is simply inexcusable and was the reason his predecessor Andrew Scheer was forced to fall on his sword after his loss in 2019. In addition O'Toole is not a Conservative ...since he has joined the ranks of the Liberal Progressives. He even admitted when he said that his party was no longer the party of your Grandparents. He got that right and by so doing got less seats than even Scheer did. The Guy is gone.
Singh to use a baseball metaphor has been at bat twice and has two strikes. Will he be allowed another pitch. Doubtful plus it is apparent to all - even dyed in the wool NDPers that Canada cannot afford his pricy social platform. He has also made a number of glaring faux pas that in the days ahead will work against him. Sayonara Jagmeet. His meagre vote % at 17 is only slightly better than they attained in 2019. In other words not enough to make a difference in the election's outcome.
You will notice that I did not include Bloc Leader Yves-Francois Blanchet in my analysis since he is the only safe one. In fact, the only true winner in yesterday's unnecessary election - he seat count rose by 2. Plus he is not contesting for Prime Minister his role is to protect and promote Quebec although in yesterday's vote he and his party acted as foil to Trudeau and the Liberals of winning a majority. So we are in his debt.
I did not include the People's Party and its Leader Madd Maxx Bernier since they are radical fringe with no future but no one will want to replace Madd Maxx - why in heaven's name would they since they are going nowhere.
As I See It
K.D. Galagher
