We here in Canada are about to have an Election that no one but our esteemed Prime Minister wants to have and only he. since he believes - probably correctly, that it will result in a Majority Government for Him.
I will not get into the Merits of having an Election right now nor will I even speak of the gross amount of Taxpayer Cash He has been Liberally Spread- and I mean Liberally Spread !! across the Country.
Rather, in this Blog I am going to deal with the Why as in Why he is likely to Win and not only that but Win with a Undeserved Majority.
The Pundits are a twitter - with their predictions - 'the Grits are way out in front in the Polling - the Tories way behind and the Dippers are doing far better than expected '- they are not of course, but that is the swill that they are serving up daily. In fact, this will be Jagmeet Singh's First Campaign... as well as his Last.
So let's now take a look at the Country in its entirety: Atlantic Canada, as it has in recent Elections, will continue to go Red. The Reason Being - they are addicted to handouts and the Liberals are the best darn hand-outers going. (I must say I love being a Blogger because I can say such Truths without having the Progressive Left swoop down on me demanding retraction).
Quebec will again be split in two between the Liberals and the Bloc. The Other Two Parties are mere uninvolved Spectators.
Ontario will as per usual see Tories Elected - in the Rural Parts. The Grits will take the Urban areas while giving up a few crumbs here and there to the NDP.
Manitoba to the BC border will continue to be predominately Blue.
And then BC will split the bounty between the Three Majors.
So it looks like a Liberal Landslide.
But not so fast - as You might have noticed, I did not mention the Suburban Region around Toronto better known as The 905. It contains 52 Ridings and could easily make the difference between a Majority Liberal Win or a Minority Liberal Win or even a Minority Conservative Win.
So How will it go? I have no idea since the Polls that have seen have yet to break-down how that Region is likely to Vote. All things being equal though, I expect that this Region will go mostly Red and if that turns out to be the case... you can kiss Tory hopes for a Joyful Election Night Goodbye. It will also be goodbye to its Leader Erin O'Toole and rightfully so.
And why do I say that? As I have mentioned in Previous Blogs - up to 70% of Canadians view themselves as being Progressive - read 'on the left'. That leaves but 30% up for grabs by the Tories. And the Tories under O'Toole have done themselves a great disservice since instead of putting forward Conservative Thoughts and Principles, they have Aped the Liberals and, if they are anything, it is is but Liberal Lite.
Given that I would never vote Liberal ...even Liberal Lite, my Vote will go to the Libertarian Party of which I feel mostly at home or even with the Family Party for its Christian Values.
You might be trying to tell me that I missed a Party...namely the Greens. Rest assured it was on Purpose.
As I See It...
K.D. Galagher