Election Day in the Province of Ontario.
So Galagher what are the Polls saying today?
Glad you asked.
The most recent Forum Research has the Tories and Grits tied at 36% with the NDP way back at 20 per cent.
Poll 308 is close to that … 35.8 Liberal; 33.2 Tory; and NDP 22.7.
Abacus: Liberal 36; Tory 33 and the Dippers at 24.
So let’s do a rough round-up: Liberals 36%; Tories 33%; and NDP 22%.
Minority Liberal Government.
This would likely buy Ontarians time before another election – 3 years or so – since the NDP would in all likelihood lend their support to Wynne especially now that the Liberal Party of Ontario is more left than our home grown socialist party.
This now sets the stage nicely for next week’s full Debate on June 3rd.
Some interesting developments since I last reported – Hudak continues to have trouble shedding his ill thought 1 million job plan and 100,000 reduction of the public service. If he loses this election, as he well may, these will be the main reasons for that.
Horwath, has become more combative .. much more in fact, and if she brings that spirit into next week’s debate I predict her numbers will rise significantly. Then again, they will have to rise significantly if she ever hopes to have a bearing on June 12th.
The Liberals continue to skate and duck and have been rather successful in distancing themselves from their last decade’s horrendous handling of Ontario’s affairs. It boggles the mind that voters can be so gullible.
That said, there has been lots of talk lately about the need for a 4th choice on the June 12th ballot …none of the above and given the choice presented to us by the 3 main parties, the 4th choice would have a good chance of winning.
Okay Galagher, we hear you but what do you see from the above?
Glad you asked.
I continue to see, as I have from the beginning, a Tory win; the question for me is whether it will be a minority …which is really a loss for reasons I believe you are well aware of .. or a majority.
I believe that next Tuesday’s Debate holds the key. It will be well watched and I expect that a combination Horwath’s enthusiasm to hold Wynne to account and Hudak’s earnestness, will combine to undermine Ms. Wynne’s smugness.
Post Debate will see a rise in NDP fortunes, a reduction in Wynne’s support and a move into Government Territory for Hudak and company.
The only question that remains for me is whether the Tories will come out of it with a Minority or a Majority.
Let’s pray for the latter or we will all be in big trouble.
As I see it …
‘K.D. Galagher’
